Wednesday, March 19, 2008

All but gone

Barack Obama's nationwide lead over Senator Hillary Clinton has all but vanished as a result of the Clinton campaign's relentless attacks on Obama's leadership abilites and the fallout from the Jeremiah Wright fiasco. In the latest poll conducted by USA Today, Obama leads Clinton 47% to 44% which is a statistical dead heat once you figure in the margin of error. What was once a 14 point lead has all but evaporated for the junior senator from Illinois. While the news is not good presently for the Obama campaign, because of the Democrats proportional system, it is highly unikely that Clinton would makeup the shortfall (she's down some 200 delegates) to overtake Obama. While Clinton should do very well in Pennsylvania on April 22, the remainder of the primary calendar does not favor Clinton to come all the way back especially since Michigan and Florida are all but out at this point. It all comes down to the superdelegates and I'm sure each of the campaigns are promising them the world in return for their support at the convention. Meanwhile, Senator McCain leads both Obama and Clinton by an identical 46%-40%, which is outside the margin of era. Surprisingly, Ralph Nader is polling around 6%. McCain can only be bolstered by the latest events surrounding the Democrats coupled with his fact finding tour in the Middle East and Europe.

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